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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 30th, 2023

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  • Some things to consider:

    • Local elections and proposals…
      • …make a huge impact to people’s lives
      • …tend have quicker impacts
      • …are far more heavily influenced by a single vote
      • …can jump-start a leftist politician (or a policy position), getting them ready for state or national campaigns down the road
    • Judges really friggin matter, and they aren’t categorized by party, so they’re a prime section for a well-informed voter to make a difference
    • All elections cost money to win
      • Even in deeply red or deeply blue states
      • If the GOP lead shrinks from 20% to 15%, that will translate to more money the GOP has to spend next time around or else risk further slipping into single digits and making a new battleground state
      • Momentum really helps keep costs low. It doesn’t seem like slipping from 20% to 15% should make the GOP panic, but it would
      • Voter turnout is lower in more deeply red/blue states, meaning your vote actually counts more in closing the gap
    • Getting your preferred candidate in office is not the only measure of electoral success
      • Even candidates that get absolutely destroyed on election day can still shift the local or national conversation
      • Candidates that perform better than pollsters expected can influence future candidates to pay more attention to the issues that brought out those extra voters
    • There aren’t just voters staying home until there’s a candidate worth voting for – there are also good candidates who are staying home until there are enough voters to support them
    • Milton Friedman, bastard that he was, was right about this:

      Only a crisis - actual or perceived - produces real change. When that crisis occurs, the actions that are taken depend on the ideas that are lying around.

      • We want leftist ideas to already be lying around at the moment they are needed. We can’t wait until after the crisis has already occurred to start organizing and showing up. It’ll be too late.
      • The Patriot Act was 131 pages, signed into law 45 days after 9/11. That wasn’t a reaction to 9/11, starting from scratch. Someone had a wishlist already, and they had a PowerPoint deck ready to go on September 12th full of proposals that Congress had already seen 100 times but was never ready to vote on before.




  • From the original source:

    The use of white phosphorus in Gaza, one of the most densely populated areas in the world, magnifies the risk to civilians and violates the international humanitarian law prohibition on putting civilians at unnecessary risk.

    Upon contact, white phosphorus can burn people, thermally and chemically, down to the bone as it is highly soluble in fat and therefore in human flesh. White phosphorus fragments can exacerbate wounds even after treatment and can enter the bloodstream and cause multiple organ failure. Already dressed wounds can reignite when dressings are removed and the wounds are re-exposed to oxygen. Even relatively minor burns are often fatal. For survivors, extensive scarring tightens muscle tissue and creates physical disabilities. The trauma of the attack, the painful treatment that follows, and appearance-changing scars lead to psychological harm and social exclusion.

    Attacks using air-delivered incendiary weapons in civilian areas are prohibited under Protocol III of the Convention on Conventional Weapons (CCW). While the protocol contains weaker restrictions for ground-launched incendiary weapons, all types of incendiary weapons produce horrific injuries. Protocol III applies only to weapons that are “primarily designed” to set fires or cause burns, and thus some countries believe it excludes certain multipurpose munitions with incendiary effects, notably those containing white phosphorus.

    Human Rights Watch and many states have long called for closing these loopholes in Protocol III. Palestine joined Protocol III on January 5, 2015, and Lebanon on April 5, 2017, while Israel has not ratified it.

    And for some context on exactly how fatal this might be in a place like Gaza…

    We’re talking about place where urban areas are 4x as dense as Los Angeles. Where people are not in the most steady health to begin with, given that 90-95% of the water supply is unsuitable for consumption, over 75% are food-insecure, 50% suffering malnutrition, the median age is 18, and there is no electricity or fuel to power the hospitals and ambulances – not that it matters anyway, because even humanitarian aid facilities are being targeted by air strikes.

    You could easily die from a small cut in Gaza. Anyone in the AoE here is totally fucked.